DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): The proposed geographic information
system-based study of the causes of childhood leukemia is not only designed to
advance the state-of-the-art in epidemiologic methods, but also to lead to
greater understanding of the etiologic role of environmental pollutants. The
study employs an innovative application of GIS analytic capability to address
some of the fundamental shortcomings of traditional epidemiology. It will build
on one of the first large-scale GIS studies of patterns of childhood cancer,
and one of the most extensive case-control studies of childhood leukemia
undertaken in the US. As such, it represents an important direction in the
evolution of GIS as an analysis tool. A key objective is to solve the problem
of characterizing the spectrum of exposure opportunity to individuals,
especially for the range of chemical agents potentially encountered in
residential settings from environmental sources. The proposed study is
organized around the hypothesis that perinatal or early life exposures to
environmental chemicals are associated with increased risk of developing
childhood leukemia. Primary exposure sources of concern for this project
include agricultural pesticides, motor vehicle emissions, and other sources of
air toxicants. The project will create individualized geographically-based
estimates of exposure constructed from residential and school history data
collected in the first five years of an ongoing UC Berkeley/California
Department of Health Services case-control study, calibrated by measured air
monitoring data and validated by means of laboratory analyses of household dust
and air samples. These exposure estimates will be applied to the full
case-control study (an estimated total of 660 cases and 1052 controls
accessioned by year-2 of this project) to assess risk relationships, with
adjustment for important covariables. The study offers sufficient power to
detect even modest changes in environmental risk factors associated with the
chemical agents of concern. The proposed project presents an unusual
opportunity to extend the capabilities of GIS tools to assist epidemiologists
in attributing population exposures, to validate generated exposure attributes,
and to integrate these estimates with individual measures for a more
comprehensive assessment of the role of environmental risk factors in the
etiology of these little understood diseases.
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