DESCRIPTION (Adapted from the Applicant's Abstract): The types of exposures
studied in cancer epidemiology pose special challenges from a data analytic
standpoint. For example, nutritional exposures form the basis for many
etiologic hypotheses concerning cancer. However, nutrient intake is difficult
to measure precisely. The degree of measurement error may mask true underlying
relationships due to the regression dilution problem. It is the role of
measurement error correction methods to estimate the relationship between
cancer incidence and "true" nutrient intake. To accomplish this requires data
from both a main study where disease and the surrogate exposure are measured,
and a validation study where both the surrogate measure and the gold standard
for nutrient intake are assessed. In this proposal, we seek to extend the
previous work on measurement error correction which is based on intake reported
at a single survey to the situation where diet is reported at multiple surveys
over time. Another focus of this proposal is to extend previous measurement
error models which were specified at the nutrient level to models specified at
the food level, which is the level at which people actually report their
intake. The issue is that different foods have different degrees of measurement
error, which should be taken into account when considering measurement error
both at the food and nutrient level. Another issue is that many nutrients have
contributions from both foods and supplements which are likely to have
differing degrees of measurement error.
We also consider measurement error issues for non-nutritional exposures in
cancer epidemiology. For example, proband studies using family registers for a
specific type of cancer collect data from a cancer case and other nonaffected
people in the same family. Special analytic methods are required to take
account of the familial nature of the data. We propose to extend measurement
error correction to be applicable to this type of data structure. Second, some
exposure-disease relationships are inherently non-linear, and are best captured
using splines (e.g., the relationship of skin cancer to low levels of arsenic
in drinking water). We propose to extend measurement error correction methods
to curves fitted with splines. Also, ROC curves are used in imaging studies for
breast cancer detection but are based in imperfect continuous measures. We
propose to assess the impact of measurement error on the estimation of the ROC
curve. Finally, there is inevitably misclassification in the pathological
classification of disease stage in some types of cancer (e.g., pancreatic
cancer). We propose to investigate the impact of this misclassification on
estimated racial differences in survival for persons with pancreatic cancer.
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