Skip Navigation
Grant Details

Grant Number: 5R01CA092693-03 Interpret this number
Primary Investigator: Wartenberg, Daniel
Organization: Univ Of Med/Dent Nj-R W Johnson Med Sch
Project Title: Geographic Tools for Surveillance and Study of Disease
Fiscal Year: 2003
Back to top


Abstract

Disease mapping and cluster detection methods are statistical approaches to identify and summarize geographic patterns of disease occurrence. With the widespread availability and use of geographic information systems (GIS) and disease and environmental data, it is important that the analytic tools provide clear, accurate, precise and interpretable results. Toward that end, the proposed project will address three critical issues in geographical analysis. First, we will investigate a variety of methods for accommodating instability in rates from regions with small populations at risk. If not address adequately, maps may display spurious peaks (i.e., clusters) and valleys that can lead to misinterpretation. Traditional approaches include empirical Bayes mapping (i.e., smoothing) and grouping of neighboring geographical units. Second, we will continue our work on the development of geographic surveillance tools. One main goal of surveillance is to identify important changes in rates or patterns of disease occurrence for disease prevention and control activities by reviewing routinely collected data on an on-going basis. However, most approaches consider only temporal changes. Yet, perceptions of clusters are often spatial, and environmental pollutants typically are described in terms of the spatial or space-time distribution. This project will extend surveillance methods for use with spatial and space-time data, and will develop approaches for prospective rather than only retrospective evaluation. Third, we will extend our work on methods for analyzing geographic data when information is missing for some of the geographic units. Often, due to administrative or jurisdictional limitations, data are not available for an entire study region. However, there may be a need to be able to estimate rates for the entire region, or for those geographical units for which data are unavailable. We will explore methods for imputing values and adjusting for edge effects using methods including Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulations.

Back to top


Publications

Recent changes in the spatial pattern of prostate cancer in the U.S.
Authors: Rogerson PA, Sinha G, Han D
Source: Am J Prev Med, 2006 Feb;30(2 Suppl), p. S50-9.
PMID: 16458790
Related Citations

Back to top


Statistical methods for the detection of spatial clustering in case-control data.
Authors: Rogerson PA
Source: Stat Med, 2006 Mar 15;25(5), p. 811-23.
PMID: 16453374
Related Citations

Back to top


Comparison of office visit and nurse advice hotline data for syndromic surveillance--Baltimore-Washington, D.C., metropolitan area, 2002.
Authors: Henry JV, Magruder S, Snyder M
Source: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep, 2004 Sep 24;53 Suppl, p. 112-6.
PMID: 15714639
Related Citations

Back to top


Approaches to syndromic surveillance when data consist of small regional counts.
Authors: Rogerson PA, Yamada I
Source: MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep, 2004 Sep 24;53 Suppl, p. 79-85.
PMID: 15714634
Related Citations

Back to top


Monitoring change in spatial patterns of disease: comparing univariate and multivariate cumulative sum approaches.
Authors: Rogerson PA, Yamada I
Source: Stat Med, 2004 Jul 30;23(14), p. 2195-214.
PMID: 15236425
Related Citations

Back to top